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LCCI projects dip in oil prices as Omicron rages

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LCCI hails e-invoicing, seeks more investments in Nigeria’s digital infrastructure

The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has said that the Omicron variant of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic may soon lead to a downward trend in oil prices.

LCCI President, Dr. Michael Olawale-Cole made the projection at the Chamber’s first-quarter press briefing on Tuesday in Lagos.

The Brent crude oil price, for most of 2021, which opened at $50.4 per barrel, peaked at $85.7 in October and decreased to $76.25 as of December.

It, however, as at Tuesday, had risen to about $83 per barrel.

Olawale-Cole said the Omicron variant, vaccines coverage, and government stimulus were factors that would influence the trajectory of the global economy in 2022.

He furthered that with the planned increase in production by 400,000 barrels per day and the restrictions being enforced in some countries, a downward trend in oil prices was imminent.

He noted that higher crude oil demand due to the reopening of economies from the devastating impact of the pandemic and production cuts observed by oil-producing countries kept prices afloat in 2021.

“However, a major risk to growth in 2022 is the rapid spread of the COVID-19 Omicron variant which has started to trigger another round of restrictions across countries.

“As oil-producing countries plan to increase production gradually, prices are expected to trend downwards in 2022 relative to 2021.

“The IMF has assumed an oil price of $64.52 per barrel in 2022.

“Although the economy seems to be at good levels of activities, rising insecurity concerns, external shocks, and high inflation rates may subdue the growth potentials of Q4 2021.

“In essence, we expect the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth number for Q4-2021 to record a below-expectation mark,” he said.

Olawale-Cole said the Nigerian economic activities were expected to ramp up to the pre-pandemic period in 2022, leading to a growth range of 2.5 per cent and four per cent.

The LCCI President listed key economic activities to watch out for in 2022 to include the electioneering campaigns, supply chain disruptions, removal of fuel subsidies and pressures on the Naira.

“While we see inflation moderating in 2022, we expect the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to remain focused on price stability because of the known effects of high double-digit inflation on the economy.

“Fiscal resources may receive a boost in 2022 on the back of a recovery in oil revenue and expected earnings by Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) as the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) is implemented.

“However, we wait to see how the removal of fuel subsidies will impact the economy, especially in an electioneering year.

“On the external scene, we expect that even with the likely emergence of COVID-19 variants, the effect of the pandemic is not expected to be as intense as what we had in 2020,” he said.

The Industrialists also stressed the need for the right policy, regulatory framework and enabling environment to foster business competitiveness at national, sub-regional, continental, and global levels.

He said that genuine commitment to implementing key reforms would not only stimulate output growth but also put the nation on the path of macroeconomic stability over the medium term.

“It is our collective responsibility to seek and demand an enabling investment environment for the advancement of the Nigerian economy and the good of all investors and economic players.

“The environment must support businesses, preserve investments, and create job opportunities.

“As a private sector advocacy group with the mandate to promote business interests, the Lagos Chamber shall continue to engage relevant government agencies where and when necessary.

“The engagement will be on evolving policy issues that may affect the business community,” he said

 

Economy

Ramadan: Transportation Minister calls for self-reflection, prayer for Nigeria

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Ramadan: Transportation Minister calls for self-reflection, prayer for Nigeria

… As Bauchi auto crash claims 25 lives, injures 10 others***

The Minister of Transportation, Mu’azu Sambo has advised Nigerian Muslims to engage in self-reflection and prayers for the country during Ramadan.

This was made known in a statement issued by Henshaw Ogubike, the Director of Press and Public Relations in the Ministry on Friday in Abuja.

In his Ramadan message, Sambo extended warm wishes to Islamic faithfuls and prayed to Almighty Allah to shower them with love, peace, prosperity and joy.

The minister urged Muslims to deepen their devotion and show brotherly love to everyone around, particularly the less privileged, during the holy month.

“Let us therefore in this holy month deepen our devotion, extend our bond of fellowship and compassion to everyone around, particularly the less privileged in our communities,” he said.

The minister also prayed for the security of all Nigerians and prosperity for the country.

“May the Almighty Allah ease our adversity; shower us with love, peace, prosperity and joy. May we be free from harm, and our nation be blessed and prosperous,” he said.

Tragedy struck on Thursday in Udobo village in Gamawa Local Government Area of Bauchi State when 25 people lost their lives in a lone auto crash.

Sector Commander of the FRSC in Bauchi State, Mr. Yusuf Abdullahi, told the press in Bauchi on Friday that 10 other persons sustained injuries in the crash.

He said the accident involved one Toyota Hummer bus in which the over-speeding driver lost control after a tyre burst.

“Thirty-five persons were involved in the road crash.

“Twenty-five of them – nine adult male, 11 adult females, two male children and three female children – lost their lives on the spot.

“Ten others sustained serious injuries and they are all male adults,’’ he said.

He added that the injured were taken to the Federal Medical Centre, Azare in Katagum Local Government Area of the state, while corpses of the deceased were taken to Hadeja in Jigawa for burial.

Abdullahi charged motorists to always be conscious of traffic rules and regulations while plying the roads. 

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AfDB, BCI promote women’s access to finance in Africa with $485,000

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AfDB, BCI promote women’s access to finance in Africa with $485,000

The African Development Bank (AfDB) and the Bank for Trade and Industry (BCI) of Mauritania have signed a 485,000 dollars agreement for Affirmative Finance Action for Women in Africa (AFAWA).

The bank in a statement said that the programme was aimed at promoting women’s access to finance in Africa.

“The Promoting Access of Women-Owned Enterprises to Financial and Technical Support Services in the Western Sahel Region project is financed by AfDB with support from Women Entrepreneurs Finance Initiative (We-Fi).

“The project aims to strengthen BCI’s financing capacity for trade and industry and to better support women small and medium enterprises in Mauritania, Mali, Senegal and Guinea,’’ it said.

It said that Mohamed El -Azizi, AfDB’s Director-General for North Africa and Isselmou Tajidine, Managing Director of BCI’s Trade and Industry Group, signed the agreement.

It said that the agreement was signed on the sidelines of the Mauritania Investment Forum.

The forum with the theme, “Invest Days-Nouakchott’’, was organised by the Mauritania Investment Promotion Agency.

AfDB’s director-general for North Africa said: “The signing of this technical assistance agreement with the BCI Group is an important step in supporting financial inclusion and growth of women-led SMEs.

“This plays a crucial role in Mauritania’s economic development.

“The agreement consolidates a 10 million euro line of credit, approved by AfDB’s board of directors to BCI in 2021, to support growth and trade of strategic small businesses of women entrepreneurs.’’

BCI’s managing director said that the project reinforced the bank’s strategic partnership with AfDB and would position the bank as the choice for women entrepreneurs in Mauritania, Senegal, Mali and Guinea.

Tajidine added that it would help to expand the bank’s offering of financial products and technical support for women-led businesses.

AFAWA and the Mauritania Investment Promotion Agency organised a workshop on strengthening financial inclusion of women’s SMEs in Mauritania during the Invest Days-Nouakchott Forum.

The session presented the mechanisms of the initiative, including the “Guarantee for Growth” programme implemented by the African Guarantee Fund.

It also provided an opportunity to discuss the regulatory framework and steps that authorities and businesses can take to improve financial access for women’s businesses.

The forum also featured the inauguration of the AFAWA ambassadors programme which will advocate accelerated access to finance for Africa’s women entrepreneurs and showcase women leaders.

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Economy

Cooking gas price increased by 24.05% in one year – NBS  

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Cooking gas price increased by 24.05% in one year – NBS  

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), says the average price of 5kg of cooking gas increased from N3,708.58 in February 2022 to N4,600.57 in February 2023.

This is contained in the Bureau’s “Cooking Gas Price Watch’’ for February 2023 released on Friday in Abuja.

The report said the February price represented a 24.05 per cent increase compared to what was obtained in February 2022.

The report said on a month-on-month basis, the price rose by 0.26 per cent from N4,588.75 recorded in January 2023 to N4,600.57 in February 2023.

On state profile analysis, the report showed that Kwara recorded the highest average price of N4,962.86 for refilling a 5kg cooking gas, followed by Adamawa at N4,914.00, and Niger at N4,907.50.

It said on the other hand, Enugu recorded the lowest price at N4,179.41, followed by Rivers and Abia at N4,204.44 and N4,220.00.

Analysis by zone showed that the North-Central recorded the highest average retail price of N4,845.44 for 5kg cooking gas, followed by the North-West at N4,629.19.

“The South-East recorded the lowest average price at N4,428.97 for 5kg cooking gas.’’

The NBS also said the average retail price for refilling a 12.5kg cooking gas declined by 0.23 percent on a month-on-month basis from N10,277.17 in January 2023 to N10,253.39 in February 2023.

“On a year-on-year basis, this rose by 37.67 percent from N7,447.79 in February 2022.’’

State profile analysis showed that Akwa Ibom recorded the highest average retail price of N10,879.50 for 12.5kg cooking gas followed by Cross River at N10,803.57 and Anambra at N10,768.75.

On the other hand, the report showed that the lowest average price for 12.5kg of cooking gas was recorded in Yobe at N9,580.00, followed by Gombe and Borno at N9,766.67 and N9,857.14, respectively.

Analysis by zone showed that the South-South recorded the highest average retail price for refilling a 12.5kg cooking gas at N10,590.18, followed by the South-East at N10,478.54.

“The North-East recorded the lowest price at N9,801.46.’’

Similarly, the average retail price per litre of kerosene rose to N1,173.89 in February 2023 on a month-on-month basis, showing an increase of 1.78 per cent compared to N1,153.40 recorded in January 2023.

According to its National Kerosene Price Watch for February 2023, on a year-on-year basis, the average retail price per litre of kerosene rose by 160.48 per cent from N450.66 in February 2022 to N1,173.89 in February 2023.

Analysis by the state showed that the highest average retail price per litre of kerosene was recorded in Plateau at N1,550.00, followed by Abuja at N1,473.33 and Adamawa at N1,438.10.

“On the other hand, the lowest price was recorded in Nassarawa at N923.81, followed by Katsina at N945.83 and Sokoto at N956.94.’’

The NBS said that analysis by zones showed that the South-West recorded the highest average retail price of Kerosene at N1,259.96 per litre, followed by the South-East at N1,255.12, while the North-West recorded the lowest at N976.24.’’

The report showed that the average price of a gallon of kerosene was sold at N3,926.23 in February 2023, indicating an increase of 1.03 percent from N3,886.11 in January 2023.

“On a year-on-year basis, this increased by 151.72 percent from N1,559.78 in February 2022.’’

State profile analysis showed that Kwara recorded the highest average retail price per gallon of kerosene at N4,905.83, followed by Ebonyi at N4,606.25 and Anambra at N4,550.00.

It said Borno and Gombe recorded the lowest price at N3,050.00, followed by Bayelsa and Delta at N3,071.43 and N3,116.67, respectively.

Analysis by zone indicated that the South-East recorded the highest average retail price per gallon of kerosene at N4,517.60, followed by the North Central at N4,107.59, while the South-South recorded the lowest at N3,474.47.

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