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Nigerian banks to report foreign currency exposures using NiFEX rate — Fitch

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…As Foreign capital inflows rise to $4.15b***

Fitch rating agency has disclosed that Nigerian banks plan to report the foreign currency items in their 2017 financial statements based on the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Fixing (NiFEX) rate instead of the official exchange rate.

In a statement yesterday, the rating agency said that banks’ move to a more market-based presentation of foreign-currency assets, liabilities and profit-and-loss items will give a pragmatic representation of their foreign currency positions.

It stated: “Our discussions with banks that we rate suggest that most will publish their 2017 financial statements based on the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Fixing (NiFEX) rate (about N330/USD) instead of the official exchange rate of N305/USD, which they previously used.

“Financial statements with foreign currency items translated more in line with market exchange rates will give a more realistic representation of banks’ foreign currency positions and capital at risk from potential further depreciation of the naira.

Exchange-rate risk warrants scrutiny for Nigerian banks because about 40 percent of assets and liabilities in Nigeria’s banking sector are denominated in US dollars and not all banks operate with matched foreign currency positions.” However, the credit rating agency opined that NiFEX in itself is not the true market exchange rate.

It recommended that the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Rate (NAFEX) is the closest to the real market rate. According to Fitch, “adopting the NiFEX rate is, however, only a partial step towards using market exchange rates.

IFRS guidelines say that companies operating in countries with multiple exchange rates should translate their FC assets and liabilities into local currency based on the exchange rates at which they expect to settle them. But the guidelines leave scope for considerable judgement and flexibility, and Nigeria operates with multiple exchange rates, which adds to the confusion “In our view, the exchange rate used under the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Rate Fixing (NAFEX) mechanism is the closest to a true market rate.

NAFEX was introduced last year and rates are set by market participants, giving investors and exporters a more transparent way to sell foreign currency. NAFEX attracts greater volumes than other exchange mechanisms.”

Meanwhile, foreign capital inflows into the economy rose by 148 per cent to $4.15 billion, according to a report released yesterday.

The Financial Derivatives Monthly Economic Update titled: “Hot Money: Foreign Direct Investment and the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy” attributed the increase to renewed investors’ confidence in the economy.

It said a further breakdown showed that foreign portfolio investment (FPI) — hot money —accounted for 67 per cent of inflows; foreign direct investment (FDI) and others accounted for the rest.

The report said policy makers were wary of relying on FPIs because they are  considered to be highly volatile and politically sensitive. “Some nations have restricted the tenor of FPIs to a minimum stay of three years. In 2018, with the expectant increase in US interest rates, these investments could be subject to capital flow reversals. In the run-up to a general election, any outward investment flows could be debilitating,” the report said.

It said with oil prices rising by 17 per cent since 2017’s average, staying at current levels, means oil revenues may help mitigate the consequences of any form of capital flight.

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), it said, voted in May 2016 to adopt greater flexibility in exchange rate policy and held other monetary policy parameters un-changed. “This was the first in a sequence of monetary policies aimed at salvaging a near-crisis situation in the foreign exchange (forex) market.

The situation in the forex market was occasioned by a steep fall in global oil prices and domestic oil production shocks, and was exacerbated by economic policy inertia,” it said.

It said the euphoria surrounding the flexible ex-change rate and higher interest rate was short-lived as capital imported in fourth quarter of 2016 declined by 15 per cent to $1.55 billion and was followed by a 41.36 per cent fall in capital imported in first quarter to $908.27 million.

“This was largely due to the skepticism about the flexible forex policy and investors’ apprehension about the huge disparity between the interbank forex rate and the parallel market rate.

This trend continued until the Investors Export Foreign Exchange window (IEFX) was launched in late April 2017. The IEFX boosted liquidity in the forex market, calmed the frayed nerves of foreign investors and supported the convergence of exchange rates,” it said.

It said the introduction of the IEFX window in late April 2017 is arguably the most important policy implemented by the CBN in 2017. It said prior to the introduction of the IEFX, foreign portfolio investors, particularly those repatriating funds from Nigeria, were concerned about the multiple ex-change rates in the country.

There was a huge gap be-tween the official exchange rate and the parallel market exchange rate, plus an opaqueness in the foreign ex-change management system (which caused uncertainty), and the acute scarcity of hard currency. Consequently, there was an exodus of foreign capital and little or no new investments into the country.

Vanguard with additional report from Nation

Banking & Finance

Senate Passes Bill To Make CBN Advances To FG 15%

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Airfare hike: Senate demands urgent rehabilitation of federal roads

…Extends implementation of N819bn supplementary to Dec. 31***

Senate has passed a bill seeking to amend the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Act to increase its advances to the Federal Government from five percent to a maximum of 15 percent.

The passage of the bill followed its presentation and consideration at plenary on Saturday.

The bill was sponsored by Sen. Gobir Abdullahi (APC- Sokoto).

Section 38 of the CBN Act stated that “Notwithstanding the provisions of section 34(d) of the act, the bank may grant temporary advances to the Federal Government in respect of temporary deficiency of budget revenue at such rate as the bank may determine.

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Senate- the Red Chamber

It further stated that the total amount of such advances outstanding shall not at any time exceed five percent of the previous year’s actual revenue of the Federal Government.

Abdullahi, however, in his lead debate said: “Mr. President, my respected colleagues, permit me to lead the debate on this bill, which seeks to amend the CBN Act to increase the total CBN advances to Federal Government from five percent to a maximum of fifteen percent.”

According to him, the bill has been read for the first time on May 24.

He said the essence of the bill was to enable the federal government to meet its immediate and future obligation in the approval of the ways and means by the National Assembly and advances to the federal government by the CBN.

“This amendment is very consequential and it needs the support of us all, it is to enable the federal government to embark on very important projects that will inflate and rejig the economy.

“I, therefore, urge you all to support the passage of this bill,” he said.

In another development, the Senate at an emergency session on Saturday extended the implementation period for the N819 billion 2022 Supplementary Appropriation Act from June 30 to Dec. 31.

This followed the consideration and expeditious passage of the 2022 Supplementary Appropriation Act (Amendment) Bill.

Senate Leader Ibrahim Gobir had earlier during plenary, led the debate on the general principles of the bill.

Gobir said that the bill was read for the first time on May 24.

He said that the bill sought to amend the 2022 Supplementary Appropriation Act to extend the implementation from June 30 to Dec. 31.

“You would recall that the National Assembly extended the implementation of the 2022 Supplementary Appropriation Act from Dec. 31, 2022, to March 31, 2023.

“This was to allow full implementation of the budget, especially in light of the 2002 supplementary budget approved in Dec. 2022

“The extension had allowed MDAs to utilise a large proportion of funds released to them.

“However, a significant amount of funds remain with MDAs and will require a further extension to be fully expended.

“Given the critical importance of some key projects nearing completion, requesting a further extension of the expiration clause in the 2022 Supplementary Appropriation Bill is expedient.

“This is to avoid compounding the problem of abandoned projects given that some of the projects were not provided for in the 2023 Budget.”

In his remarks, the Senate President, Ahmad Lawan, said that the supplementary budget approved for the executive by both chambers in December has not been implemented due to lack of releases.

”The supplementary budget meant for fixing of critical infrastructure destroyed by flood across the country last year has not been implemented due to non-releases of appropriated funds.

“As explained and requested by the executive, the duration of implementation will now be extended from June 30 earlier fixed, to Dec. 31, 2023”.

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Banking & Finance

CBN Increases Baseline Lending Rate To 18.5%

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Economists say MPR retention at 11.5% anticipated, as IMF slides global GDP to 4.4%

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has increased the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) to 18.5 percent from 18 percent.

The CBN Governor, Mr Godwin Emefiele, made this known on Wednesday in Abuja, after presenting the communique from the 291st meeting of the MPC.

The MPR is the baseline interest rate in an economy, on which every other interest rate used within an economy is built.

The committee had raised the MPR from 17.5 percent to 18 percent at its last meeting in March.

According to Emefiele, the 11 MPC members at the meeting were faced with the dilemma of whether to hold or to hike the policy rates to offset the moderate increase in headline inflation.

“Considering the option of a hold-policy, the committee reiterated the empirical counterfactual evidence and believe that the rate hikes have indeed helped moderate continued rising inflation.

“In addition, the evidence revealed that the rate hikes also helped moderate growth in new credit and reduced a pent-up aggregate demand, which had continued to heighten inflationary pressure.

“Members were unanimous in their conclusion that the current policy stance is, indeed, impacting targeted parameters and yielding the expected outcome, albeit, somewhat slowly, ” he said.

Emefiele said that the MPC members were also convinced that the current uptrend in inflationary pressure was driven by a combination of both demand and supply side issues.

“The MPC observed the continued risk to price development driven primarily by the expectation of rising energy and food prices, unabating security challenges in food-producing areas, as well as persisting exchange rate pressure.

“The committee, thus, felt it expedient to continue to address the demand side issues falling within the ambit of its policy tools,” he said.

According to him, the balance of argument thus leaned significantly in favour of a further hike, albeit less aggressively, considering the adverse impact of rising inflation on real income.

“The MPC considered that the current policy stance is moderating the rising inflation, and sustaining the stance would consolidate the gains made so far,” he said.

The CBN governor said that tightening would also support efforts toward moderating the demand-pool inflation as the cost of funds increased.

“Members, therefore, resolved by unanimous decision to raise the MPR moderately.

“10 members voted to raise the MPR by 50 basis points and one member, by 25 basis. All members voted to hold all other parameters constant.

“Members voted to raise MPR to 18.5 percent; to retain the Asymmetric Corridor of +100/-700 basis points around the MPR, retain the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) of 32.5 percent, and retain the Liquidity Ratio of 30 percent,” he said.

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Banking & Finance

Prof. Moghalu To Deliver Afreximbank 30th Anniversary Founders Day Lecture

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Prof. Kingsley Moghalu, the President of the Institute for Governance and Economic Transformation (IGET) will deliver the 30th Anniversary Founders Day Lecture of the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank).

The event is billed to hold at the bank’s Headquarters in Cairo, Egypt, on May 8.

Moghalu was also a former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN),

The IGET quoted Moghalu in a statement on Tuesday, as saying, “I am honored to have been requested to deliver the Afreximbank’s 30th Anniversary Founders Day Lecture.

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“As Africa’s trade finance bank and one of the continent’s most strategically important financial institutions, Afreximbank has a central role to play in developing Africa into one of the world’s prosperity zones.”

IGET said that Moghalu’s Afreximbank lecture would focus on “Afreximbank in the next 30 years”.

It added that the lecture would also provide new perspectives on what the bank’s priorities could be over the next 30 years in the context of continental strategies such as the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA).

Similarly, IGET quoted the President and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Afreximbank, Prof. Benedict Oramah, as saying that Afreximbank Founders’ Day Celebration is commemorated annually to celebrate the visionary leaders who conceived the idea and contributed to the establishment of the Bank.

“It is also a platform to take stock of the contributions of the Bank towards Africa’s trade development aspirations and reflect on its future.

“The Founders’ Day, celebrated on May 8 each year, brings together over 800 diverse participants comprising all staff of Afreximbank and their spouses, African and selected non-African Ambassadors and diplomats, representatives of international organisations resident in Cairo, as well as the Bank’s clients and officials of the Egyptian Government,” Oramah quoted as saying.

IGET said that Afreximbank was established in 1993 by African Governments, African private and institutional investors as well as non-African financial institutions to provide financial solutions and advisory services for the expansion and diversification of intra-and extra-African trade.

It added that the bank has total assets of $12 billion. It was recently upgraded to “BBB” from “BBB-” by the rating agency Fitch.

The IGET is an independent, non-partisan think tank established to help African countries create inclusive growth and prosperity through effective governance, knowledge-based public policy, and economic strategy.

IGET delivers value through accessible policy briefs, executive education for public and private sector leaders, and consultancies.

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